Macroeconomics, public policy, and what economic data does not measure.

Measured COVID incidence partly reflects who gets tested, not only who is infected. This report documents a prototype pandemic response atlas for Île-de-France, joining COVID testing visibility with IRIS-level socioeconomic conditions and a 200m Paris grid, so that a low case count can be distinguished from a low detection rate.

Sri Lanka has shifted from a twin deficit to a rare twin surplus. This report examines three comparable transitions — the Philippines, Chile, and Thailand — to establish what drove their surpluses, how long they lasted, and what eventually reversed them, with the aim of setting expectations for how durable Sri Lanka's position is likely to be.

South East Asia's export-manufacturing economies function as an intermediary in the supply chain between the United States and China. This report traces how escalating trade conflict transmits into regional currencies and capital flows, and why the consequences reach beyond the region — including into South Asia.